Candidates and Constituency Assessments


saltire shield'David Cameron has reprimanded Alan Duncan, the Conservative front bencher, who suggested the English were no longer prepared to see a Scottish prime minister in the wake of devolution, senior Tory sources said last night. Mr Duncan, the Shadow Trade Secretary, raised eyebrows when he said it was "almost impossible" to con-sider having a Scot as premier because he or she "would be at odds with the basic construction of the British constitution"'
Michael Settle, Chief UK Political Correspondent in the Herald, 5 th July 2006.
Lion Rampant

Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley (South of Scotland Region)

Candidates

Ray Barry Ray Barry
(Not standing on South of Scotland list)
EPA
Equal Parenting Alliance
Ray Barry is 57, currently lives in Wolverhampton, and is a retired Civil Servant, having worked for Jobcentreplus for 30+ years. He specialised in helping disabled people to find work, has an MSc. degree in this field, and now runs an independent consultancy from his home, helping people to return to work after injury. Ray also does voluntary work driving disabled students to college, he has a theology degree, and has trained as a priest. He as 3 children, the eldest 2 of whom he has not seen for 7 years.

Recent electoral experience.
Hugh Hill Hugh Hill
(Not standing on South of Scotland list)
Ind
Independent
Hugh Hill was born in 1939 into a coal mining family. He left school at 15 and went into the pits. After a few years in mining he joined the Royal Air Force and ended up in Air Traffic where he remained in 'Civvy Street' until his retirement. He now holds a BSc with honours in psychology, and a Diploma in Secular Ceremony. Hugh is a member of the Humanist Society of Scotland, the British Humanist Society, the Rationalist Association, the Secular Society, Kyle and Carrick Civic Society, Greenpeace, various other secular organisations in USA and Canada, and is executive director of the Secular Fellowship. Hugh strongly believes that every individual has an absolute right to food, clothing, shelter, health and education. Pet loves are Schubert's 5th symphony, Pink Floyd and science. Pet hates are drivers who don't indicate their intentions, superstition and xenophobia. Not necessarily in that order.

Recent electoral experience.
Adam Ingram MSP Adam Ingram MSP
(Also number 3 on South of Scotland list)
SNP logo
Scottish National Party
Adam Ingram was born in Kilmarnock on the 1 st of May 1951 and was educated at Kilmarnock Academy, Glasgow University and Paisley College where he graduated with a BA(Hons) in Business Economics. From 1971 until 1976 he managed the family bakery firm A.H. Ingram and Son. From 1985 until 1986 he was a Senior Economic Assistant with the Manpower Services Commission then from 1987 to 1988 a Researcher and Lecturer at Paisley College. From 1989 to 1991 he worked with Development Options Ltd and from 1991 until 1995 for EES Consultants Ltd. From 1995 until his election in 1999 he was a Freelance economic consultant. In the parliament he is Convener of the Cross-Party Group on Mental Health.

Shadow Ministerial positions
September 2000 - April 2003 - Shadow Deputy Minister for Finance
September 2004 - Shadow Deputy Minister for Children & Early Education

Recent electoral experience
2003 Scottish parliament election, Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley, 5,822 votes (16.94 %)
2003 Scottish parliament election, Third on SNP South of Scotland list, 48,371 votes (18.37 %) (elected)
1999 Scottish parliament election, Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley, 10,864 votes (26.44 %)
1999 Scottish parliament election, Third on SNP South of Scotland list, 80,059 votes (25.15 %) (elected)
Cathie Jamieson MSP Cathy Jamieson MSP
(Not standing on South of Scotland list)
labour logo
Labour
Cathy Jamieson was born on the 3 rd November 1956 and educated at James Hamilton Academy in Kilmarnock. She obtained BA (Hons) in Fine Art at Glasgow Art School, a Higher National Diploma in Art at Goldsmiths College in London, a certificate in Social Work from Glasgow University and a centificate in Management from Glasgow Caledonian University. She worked with Strathclyde Region Council from 1980 until 1992: From 1980 to 1981 she was a trainee Social Worker and from 1983 to 1986 a Social Worker. From 1986 - 1998 she was a Community Intermediate Treatment Worker, and from 1988 to 1992 a Senior Intermediate Treatment Worker. From 1992 until her election in 1999 she was Principal Officer with Who Cares? Scotland. She was also a member of the Edinburgh inquiry into abuse in residential care and served on the management and advisory committees of several childcare agencies. Ms Jamieson is married and has one son. She is a member of TGWU and the Co-operative Party. There were calls for Jamieson to resign as Minister for Justice when it was alleged that helped her nephew by giving him money when he was on the run from the police after murdering her aunt, hower the Minister for Justice claimed that she was unaware of her nephew's crime at the time she gave him money.

Ministerial positions
November 2001 - May 2003 - Minister for Education & Young People
May 2003 - Minister for Justice

Recent electoral experience
2003 Scottish Parliament election, Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley, 16,484 votes (47.97 %) (elected)
1999 Scottish Parliament election, Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley, 19,667 votes (47.86 %) (elected)
Cllr Anthony Lewis Cllr Tony Lewis
(Also number 7 on South of Scotland list)
Con logo
Conservative & Unionist
Anthony Lewis contested Coylton & Minishant in South Ayrshire in 1999, coming second 280 votes behind Labour. In 2003 he won the ward from Labour with a majority of 90. At the 2005 Westminster election he contested East Kilbride Strathaven & Lesmahagow, coming fourth.

Recent electoral experience.
2005 Westminster election, East Kilbride Strathaven & Lesmahagow, 4,776 votes (10.01 %)
2003 South Ayrshire Council election, Coylton & Minishant, 753 votes (44.29 %) (elected)
1999 South Ayrshire Council election, Coylton & Minishant, 587 votes (31.90 %)
Paul McGreal Paul McGreal
(Also number 4 on South of Scotland list)
liberal logo
Liberal Democrat
Paul is a Project Manager for Stage Lighting Design Company. He has previously worked as a President of a Students' Union. He has a keen interest in Arts provision, and is an active Shinty Player and runner.

Recent electoral experience
2003 Scottish Parliament election, Livingston, 2,714 votes (8.8 %)

Constituency profile

Assessment:

This assessment is based on the 2003 election results

Rank on Conservative hit list: 21 (30 in 2003)
Swing required for Conservative gain: 10.85 % from Labour to Conservative

Rank on Scottish National Party hit list: 51 (50 in 2003)
Swing required for Scottish National Party gain: 15.52 % from Labour to Scottish National Party

Rank on Liberal Democrat hit list: 50 (47 in 2003)
Swing required for Liberal Democrat gain: 22.07 % from Labour to Liberal Democrat

Correlation to the new Westminster constituencies

The electorate of 65,584 was split between the new Westminster constituencies of:
Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock 51,504 (78.5 %)
Kilmarnock & Loudoun 11,223 (17.1 %)
Central Ayrshire 2,857 (4.4 %)

Local Government wards in the constituency

Council Ward number Ward name Electorate (June 2001)
East Ayrshire 22Mauchline2,916
23Catrine, Sorn and Mauchline East2,868
24Muirkirk, Lugar, Logan2,623
25Drongan, Stair and Rankinston3,092
26Ochiltree, Skares, Netherthird and Craigens2,760
27Auchinleck2,816
28Cumnock West2,957
29Cumnock East2,806
30Patna and Dalrymple3,051
31Dalmellington2,636
32New Cumnock2,977
South Ayrshire 17Ayr Forehill12,835
18Ayr Masonhill3,286
19Ayr Belmont3,181
20Ayr Doonfoot and Seafield13,091
21Ayr Rozelle13,080
24Annbank Mossblown St Quivox3,102
25Coylton and Minishant3,025
26North Carrick and Maybole West3,174
27North Carrick and Maybole East3,001
28South Carrick3,196
29Girvan Ailsa2,951
30Girvan Glendoune2,761

1 Split between Ayr and Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley

Previous results

1 st May 2003 Holyrood Election - Constituency result

Electorate 65,102. Turnout 34,366, 52.79 % (- 9.88 %)
Logo Party Candidate Votes % % change
Labour logo Labour Co-op Cathy Jamieson MSP 16,484 47.97 % + 0.11 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Phil Gallie MSP 9,030 26.28 % + 6.51 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party Adam Ingram MSP 5,822 16.94 % - 9.50 %
SSP logo Scottish Socialist Party Murray Steele 1,1715 4.99 % (+ 4.99 %)
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat Caron Howden 1,315 3.83 % - 2.11 %
Lab Labour Co-op hold Labour Co-op majority 7,454 21.69 % + 0.27 %

1 st May 2003 Holyrood Election - Regional list result

Electorate 65,102. Turnout 34,366, 52.83 %
171 rejected ballot papers
Logo Party Votes % % change
Labour logo Labour 14,362 41.76 % + 1.98 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist 7,533 21.90 % + 2.66 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party 5,859 17.04 % - 9.02 %
Scot Soc logo Scottish Socialist Party 2,001 5.82 % + 4.80 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrats 1,463 4.25 % - 1.12 %
Scot Green logo Scottish Green Party 1,402 4.08 % + 2.11 %
Pensioners Pensioners' Party 976 2.84 % (+ 2.84 %)
Soc Lab logo Socialist Labour Party 487 1.42 % - 4.12 %
UKIP UK Independence Party 165 0.48 % (+ 0.48 %)
SPA Scottish Peoples Alliance 83 0.24 % (+ 0.24 %)

Am Partaidh Dhuthchail The Rural Party 62 0.18 % (+ 0.18 %)
Lab logo Labour majority 6,829 19.86 % + 6.11 %

6 th May 1999 Holyrood Election - Constituency Result

Logo Party Candidate Votes % % change
Labour logo Labour Co-op Cathy Jamieson 19,667 47.86 % - 11.93 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party Adam Ingram 10,864 26.44 % + 9.78 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist John Scott 8,123 19.77 % + 2.82 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat Dr David Hannay 2,441 5.94 % + 0.63 %
Labour win Labour majority 8,803 21.42 % - 21.42 %

6 th May 1999 Holyrood Election - Regional list result

Logo Party Votes %
Labour logo Labour 16,363 39.78 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party 10,706 26.06 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist 7,916 19.24 %
Soc Lab logo Socialist Labour Party 2,280 5.54 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrats 2,209 5.37 %
Scot Green logo Scottish Green Party 810 1.97 %
Scot Soc logo Scottish Socialist Party 420 1.02 %
Liberal Liberal Party 195 0.47 %
UK Ind UK Independence Party 149 0.36 %
Nat Law logo Natural Law Party 91 0.22 %
Lab logo Labour majority 5,657 13.75 %

1 st May 1997 Westminster Election

Logo Party Candidate Votes %
Labour logo Labour George Foulkes MP 29,398 59.79 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Alasdair Marshall 8,336 16.95 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party Christine Hutchison 8,190 16.66 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat Derek Young 2,613 5.31 %
Referendum logo Referendum John Higgins 634 1.29%
Labour hold Labour majority 21,062 42.84 %

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