Candidates and Constituency Assessments

'The Executive have failed to tackle the problem of recruitment and retention of dentists within the NHS.' SNP Shadow Minister for Health, Shona Robison, 30 th June 2006.

Dundee East (North East Scotland Region)

Candidates

	Chris Bustin (Also number 6 on North East Scotland list)
	Conservative & Unionist
	Tory candidate, Chris Bustin went to Dundee University and graduated in Law with languages. He is a past President and Chairman of the University Students Association and past Vice President of the Scottish Conservative students. He was also President of the Scottish students Debating Council and an active member of the Countryside Alliance. He is currently employed research at Dundee University and is a member of Dundee Community Council. Recent electoral experience. 2005 Westminster election, Dundee East, 5,061 votes (12.80 %) 2003 Dundee City Council election, Logie, 95 votes (6.32 %)
	Iain Luke (Not standing on North East Scotland list)
	Labour
	Luke was born in Dundee in 1951 and educated at Dundee and Edinburgh Universities and Jordanhill College. He worked as a tax collector and then as a lecturer at Dundee College before being elected to Dundee City Council. He served on the Council from 1984 until 1996, serving as leader from 1990 until 1992, and on the new Dundee City Council from 1996 until 2001, representing Tay Bridges which he held with 48.5 % of the vote in 1999. (In 2001 the ward was won by the Lib Dems). In 2001, Luke became MP for Dundee East, succeeding John McAllion who remained MSP for Dundee East. There was a 5.4 % swing from Labour to the SNP which saw Luke was elected with a majority of 4,475, down from 9,961 in 1997. In 2003, the popular local MSP and ex MP, John McAllion, who had won the seat from SNP Chairman Gordon Wilson in 1987, was defeated the SNP's Shona Robison, while in 2005 Luke was defeated in the Westminster seat by Shona Robison's husband Stewart Hosie of the SNP. Council positions 1990 - 1992 Leader of Dundee Council 1996 - 2001 Leader of Dundee City Council Recent electoral experience 2005 Westminster election, Dundee East, 14,325 votes (36.23 %) (defeated) 2001 Westminster election, Dundee East, 14,635 votes (45.23 %) (elected) 1999 Dundee City Council election, Tay Bridges, 869 votes (48.55 %) (elected) 1995 Dundee City Council election, West End, 698 votes (69.25 %) (elected) Dundee Councillor 1984 - 1996
	Shona Robison MSP (Not standing on North East Scotland list)
	Scottish National Party
	Shona Robison was born on the 26 th May 1966 in Redcar in England and educated at Alva Academy, Glasgow University where she graduated with an MA in Social Sciences, and Jordanhill College in Glasgow where she obtained a Postgraduate Cert in Community Education. She worked for Glasgow City Council, from 1990- until 1993 as a Community worker. In 1993 she became a Senior community worker and from 1997 until her election in 1999 she was a Home care organiser. She is married to Stewart Hosie, the SNP MP for Dundee East, and is a member of Unison. In 1999 she was elected as the fifth regional MSP for North east Scotland, while in 2003 she won Dundee East from Labour. In the parliament she is Deputy Convener of the Cross-Party Group on Loss of Consultant Led Services in Scotland - Solutions. Shadow ministerial experience September 2000 - April 2003 - Shadow Deputy Minister for Health & Community Care May 2003 - September 2004 - Shadow Minister for Health & Social Justice September 2004 - Shadow Minister for Health & Community Care SNP positions May 1999 - April 2003 Secretary of the Scottish National Party Group Recent electoral experience 2003 Scottish Parliament election, Dundee East, 10,428 votes (39.58 %) (elected) 2003 Scottish Parliament election, Third on SNP North East Scotland list, 66,463 votes (27.28 %) 1999 Scottish Parliament election, Dundee East, 10,849 votes (34.26 %) 1999 Scottish Parliament election, Fifth on SNP North East Scotland list, 92,329 votes (32.35 %) (elected) 1997 Westminster election, Dundee East, 10,757 votes (26.54 %)
	Dr Clive Sneddon (Also number 8 on North East Scotland list)
	Liberal Democrat
	Dundee Liberal Democrats have announced the selection of Clive Sneddon as their candidate for Dundee East at next year's Scottish parliamentary election. Clive teaches French at St Andrews University, and is married with two children. He has been active in Scottish politics since 1975, when he joined the Liberal Party. He was a candidate for Scotland in the 1999 and 2004 European Parliamentary elections, before which he was leader of the former North East Fife District Council for its last eight years to 1996. Clive also fought the Dundee East seat at the last Scottish Parliamentary election and at last year's Westminster General Election. Clive said, "I am delighted to have again been chosen to contest Dundee East at next year's Scottish Parliament election. At last year's election in Dundee East, it was the Liberal Democrats who had the largest increase in vote share and the recent by-election result in Dunfermline & West Fife shows that the LibDems are increasing support whilst Labour, Tories and Nationalists are falling behind. I look forward to working hard for the constituency." Council positions 1988 - 1996 Leader of North-East Fife District Council Recent electoral experience 2005 Westminster election, Dundee East, 4,498 votes (11.38 %) 2004 European Parliament election, Sixth on Lib Dem national list, 154,178 votes (13.10 %) 2003 Scottish Parliament election, Dundee East, 1,584 votes (6.01 %) 1999 European Parliament election, Fifth on Lib Dem national list, 96,971 votes (9.81 %) North East Fife District Councillor for 8 years

Constituency profile

Assessment:

This assessment is based on the 2003 election results

Rank on Labour hit list: 1 (- in 2003)
Swing required for Labour gain: 0.17 % from Scottish National Party to Labour

Rank on Conservative hit list: 32 (31 in 2003)
Swing required for Conservative gain: 13.84 % from Scottish National Party to Conservative

Rank on Liberal Democrat hit list: 30 (27 in 2003)
Swing required for Liberal Democrat gain: 16.79 % from Scottish National Party to Liberal Democrat

Correlation to the new Westminster constituencies

The electorate of 56,835 was split between the new Westminster constituencies of:
Dundee East: 45,395 (79.9 %)
Dundee West: 11,440 (20.1 %)

Local Government wards in the constituency

Previous results

1 st May 2003 Holyrood Election - Constituency result

Electorate 53,876. Turnout 26,348, 48.90 % (- 6.43 %)
Logo	Party	Candidate	Votes	%	% change
	Scottish National Party	Shona Robison MSP	10,428	39.58 %	+ 5.32 %
	Labour	John McAllion MSP	10,338	39.24 %	- 4.04 %
	Conservative & Unionist	Edward Prince	3,133	11.89 %	- 2.09 %
	Liberal Democrat	Dr Clive Sneddon	1,584	6.01 %	- 0.79 %
	Independent	James Gourlay	865	3.28 %	(+ 3.28 %)
	Scottish National Party gain from Labour	Scottish National Party majority	90	0.34 %

1 st May 2003 Holyrood Election - Regional list result

Electorate 53,876. Turnout 26,359, 48.93 % 213 rejected ballot papers
Logo	Party	Votes	%	% change
	Scottish National Party	9,142	34.68 %	- 1.45 %
	Labour	7,917	30.04 %	- 5.20 %
	Conservative & Unionist Party	3,358	12.74 %	- 2.27 %
	Liberal Democrats	1,708	6.48 %	- 1.38 %
	Scottish Socialist Party	1,343	5.10 %	+ 3.41 %
	Scottish Green Party	1,206	4.56 %	+ 2.27 %
	Pensioners's Party	863	3.27 %	(+ 3.27 %)
	Socialist Labour Party	344	1.31 %	- 0.13 %
	The Fishing Party	203	0.77 %	(+ 0.77 %)
	UK Independence Party	149	0.57 %	(+ 0.57 %)
	Scottish Peoples Alliance	67	0.25 %	(+ 0.25 %)
	Steven Mathers	59	0.22 %	(+ 0.22 %)
	Scottish National Party majority	1,225	4.65 %	+ 3.76 %

6 th May 1999 Holyrood Election - Constituency result

Logo	Party	Candidate	Votes	%	% change
	Labour	John McAllion MP	13,703	43.28 %	- 7.84 %
	Scottish National Party	Shona Robison	10,849	34.26 %	+ 7.72 %
	Conservative & Unionist	Iain Mitchell	4,428	13.98 %	- 1.80 %
	Liberal Democrat	Raymond Lawrie	2,153	6.80 %	+ 2.66 %
	Scottish Socialist Party	Harvey Duke	530	1.67 %	+ 1.33 %
	Labour win	Labour majority	2,854	9.02 %	- 15.56 %

6 th May 1999 Holyrood Election - Regional list result

Logo	Party	Votes	%
	Scottish National Party	11,449	36.13 %
	Labour	11,167	35.24 %
	Conservative & Unionist Party	4,756	15.01 %
	Liberal Democrats	2,490	7.86 %
	Scottish Green Party	721	2.29 %
	Scottish Socialist Party	534	1.69 %
	Socialist Labour Party	457	1.44 %
	Natural Law Party	73	0.23 %
	Sleaze Buster	22	0.07 %
	Hamish Watt	20	0.06 %
	Scottish National Party majority	284	0.89 %

1 st May 1997 Westminster Election

Logo	Party	Candidate	Votes	%
	Labour	John McAllion MP	20,718	51.12 %
	Scottish National Party	Shona Robison	10,757	26.54 %
	Conservative & Unionist	Cllr Bruce Mackie	6,397	15.78 %
	Liberal Democrat	Gurudeo Saluja	1,677	4.14 %
	Referendum	Edward Galloway	601	1.48 %
	Scottish Socialist Alliance	Harvey Duke	232	0.57 %
	Natural Law	Elisabeth MacKenzie	146	0.36 %
	Labour hold	Labour majority	9,961	24.58 %

Links

• Shona Robison MSP (Scottish National Party)
  
  
• Dundee SNP
  
  
• Dundee Lib Dems