Candidates and Constituency Assessments


saltire shield'It's no secret that Labour's Gordon Brown, Blair's longtime rival-pal and the current Chancellor of the Exchequer (Britain's treasurer), is being groomed to become the next PM. That power change could come as early as sometime next year, if Blair steps down early, as he is expected to do. There's a potential problem, though, which the Conservatives (also known as the Tories) plan to exploit. As they see it, Brown is guilty of a big, political sin: he's Scottish.'
Edward M. Gomez in the San Francisco Chronicle, 5 th July 2006.
Lion Rampant

Kirkcaldy (Mid Scotland & Fife Region)

Candidates

Professor of Christopher Harvie Professor Christopher Harvie
(Also number 6 on Mid Scotland & Fife list)
SNP logo
Scottish National Party
Professor Christopher Harvie was born in Motherwell, Scotland on September 21 1944. His father was a schoolteacher and he grew up in the border village of St Boswells, where the family lived until 1958. Thereafter he attended the Royal high school and University of Edinburgh, graduating with first class honours in history in 1966 and being awarded his PhD for a thesis on university liberalism and democracy, 1860-1886. He taught at the Open University from 1969 until 1980 when he moved to the University of Tübingen in Germany to teach British and Irish Studies. Professor Harvie also has honorary chairs at Aberystwyth and Strathclyde. He has written on North Sea oil, the British political novel and European regionalisation. His books include Scottish history, Scotland and Nationalism, Deep Fried Hillman Imp: Scotland's Transport and Scotland: a Short History, and No Gods and Precious Few Heroes: Scotland since 1914. He was a member of the Labour party, and wrote a pamphlet in favour of the Scottish Assembly along with Gordon Brown in 1979. He co-edited the history of the Scotish Labour Party in 1988 but left the party a year later. In May 2006, he wrote in the Guardian: 'There are worse things than the break-up of Britain: a "British Islands" system - informally a confederation of sorts - whereby an independent England with its allies in the archipelago could exercise the same sort of voting power within Europe as Germany plus, say, Holland and Denmark, might turn out a very attractive option. Shot of the ghost of Britain, the Islands could remake West Europe.' Among his many other interests, Chris Harvie is Honorary President of the Scottish Association for Public Transport. Chris is married with one daughter. He describes himself as a civic nationalist and greenish republican.

Recent electoral experience
Social Democrat council candidate in Tübingen, Germany.
Marilyn Livingstone MSP Marilyn Livingston MSP labour logo
Labour
Marilyn Livingston was born on the 30 th September 1952 and educated at Viewforth Secondardy school and Fife College in Glenrothes. From 1982 until her election in 1999 she was head of the Business School at Fife College. She was a Kirkcaldy Diestrict Councillor then a Fife Councillor before becoming an MSP. She is married and a member of the Church of Scotland, Unison, the EIS and the Co-operative Party.

Party positions
1999 - 2003 Convenor of the Labour party MSP group.

Ministerial Positions
None

Recent electoral experience
2003 Scottish parliament election, Kirkcaldy, 10,235 votes (46.65 %) (elected)
1999 Scottish parliament election, Kirkcaldy, 13,645 votes (48.14 %) (elected)
1995 Fife Council election, Sinclairtown/Gallatown, 815 votes (81.34 %) (elected)
1992 Kirkcaldy District Council election, Sinclairtown, 722 votes (56.06 %)
David Potts Cllr David Potts
(Also number 8 on Mid Scotland & Fife list)
Con logo
Conservative & Unionist
David Potts was born in 1982, in Jarrow and has been a Tory Party activist since he was 14. In 2004, at the age of 21, he was elected to South Tyneside Council taking a seat from the Liberal Democrats. David currently splits his time between his political duties in Jarrow and Falkirk, and his university life in Cambridge, where he is in the third year of his degree and is a past chairman of Cambridge Conservative Future. He is also an officer in the Royal Naval Reserve and takes a keen interest in defence and national security issues. Outside of politics, David loves to play cricket and rugby. He also enjoys reading and has an eclectic taste in music.

Recent electoral experience.
2005 Westminster election, Falkirk, 4,538 votes (9.92 %)
2004 South Tynside Council election, Cleadon & East Boldon, 1,500 votes (One of three Tories elected for the ward).
Cllr Alice Soper Cllr Alice Soper
(Also number 7 on Mid Scotland & Fife list)
liberal logo
Liberal Democrat
Cllr Soper won the Linktown & Kirkcaldy Central on Fife Council in 2003 when she defeated the sitting Labour Cllr, John Farmer by 64 votes. She is a member of the following Council Committees: Central Area Common Good Sub-Committee, Central Area Services, Children's Services and Children's Services Scrutiny Sub-Committee.

Recent electoral experience
2003 Fife Council election, Linktown & Kirkcaldy Central, 642 votes (41.63 %) (elected)

Constituency profile

Assessment:

This assessment is based on the 2003 election results

Rank on Scottish National Party hit list: 31 (32 in 2003)
Swing required for Scottish National Party gain: 11.00 % from Labour to Scottish National Party

Rank on Liberal Democrat hit list: 39 (38 in 2003)
Swing required for Liberal Democrat gain: 17.82 % from Labour to Liberal Democrat

Rank on Conservative hit list: 53 (51 in 2003)
Swing required for Conservative gain: 18.01 % from Labour to Conservative

Correlation to the new Westminster constituencies

The electorate of 51,441 was split between the new Westminster constituencies of:
Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath: 43,262 (84.0 %)
Glenrothes: 8,179 (16.0 %)

Local Government wards in the constituency

Council Ward number Ward name Electorate (June 2001)
Fife 29Aberdour and Burntisland West 13,430
30Auchtertool and Burntisland East3,209
31Kinghorn and Invertiel3,485
32Linktown and Kirkcaldy Central3,500
33Raith and Longbraes3,541
34Bennochy and Valley3,566
35Templehall East3,451
36Templehall West3,374
37Cardenden, Cluny and Chapel 23,678
39Dunnikier3,316
40Hayfield and Balsusney3,325
41Smeaton and Overton3,443
42Glebe Park, Pathhead and Sinclairtown3,376
43Dysart and Gallatown3,771
44Wemyss and Muiredge3,812
45Buckhaven and Denbeath3,664
55Thornton, Stenton and Finglassie South 33,750

1 Mostly Kirkcaldy, some Dunfermline East
2 Mostly Dunfermline East, some Kirkcaldy
3 Mostly Kirkcaldy, some Central Fife

Previous results

1 st May 2003 Holyrood Election - Constituency result

Electorate 50,064 (Reported as 49,653 in the press). Turnout 21,939, 43.82 % (- 11.06 %)
Logo Party Candidate Votes % % change
Labour logo Labour Co-op Marilyn Livingston MSP 10,235 46.65 % - 1.49 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party Colin Welsh 5,411 24.66 % - 7.69 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat Alex Cole-Hamilton 2,417 11.02 % + 1.78 %
Con Conservative & Unionist Cllr Michael Scott-Hayward 2,332 10.63 % + 0.37 %
SSP logo Scottish Socialist Party Rudi Vogels 1,544 7.04 % (+ 7.04 %)
Labour Co-op hold Labour Co-op majority 4,824 21.99 % + 6.20 %

1 st May 2003 Holyrood Election - Regional list result

Electorate 50,064. Turnout 21,867, 44.09 %
148 rejected ballot papers
Logo Party Votes % % change
Labour logo Labour 8,027 36.96 % - 6.90 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party 4,894 22.53 % - 7.57 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist 2,006 9.24 % - 1.11 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrats 1,942 8.94 % - 0.28 %
Scot Soc logo Scottish Socialist Party 1,341 6.17 % + 4.74 %
Pensioners Pensioners's Party 1,227 5.65 % (+ 5.65 %)
Scot Green logo Scottish Green Party 1,195 5.50 % + 2.04 %
UKIP UK Independence Party 282 1.30 % (1.30 %)
Soc Lab logo Socialist Labour Party 274 1.26 % + 0.11 %
Health Fighting Hospital Closures & Downgrading 218 1.00 % (+ 1.00 %)

Save Local Hospitals - Dunfermline, Perth, Stirling 120 0.55 % 5+ 0.55 %)
Ind Tom Gray, Independent 106 0.49 % (+ 0.49 %)
Christian Ind All Christian Independent Alliance Upholding Community Values 95 0.44 % (+ 0.44 %)
SPA Scottish Peoples Alliance 84 0.39 % (+ 0.39 %)
Ind Damien Quigg, Independent 54 0.25 % (+ 0.25 %)
Lab logo Labour majority 3,135 14.43 % + 1.16 %

6 th May 1999 Holyrood Election - Constituency Result

Logo Party Candidate Votes % % change
Labour logo Labour Co-op Marilyn Livingston 13,645 48.14 % - 5.42 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party Stewart Hosie 9,170 32.35 % + 9.42 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Mike Scott-Hayward 2,907 10.26 % - 3.40 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat John Mainland 2,620 9.24 % + 0.57 %
Labour Co-op win Labour Co-op majority 4,475 15.79 % - 14.84 %

6 th May 1999 Holyrood Election - Regional list result

Logo Party Votes %
Labour logo Labour 12,440 43.86 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party 8,535 30.10 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Party 2,936 10.35 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrats 2,616 9.22 %
Scot Green logo Scottish Green Party 982 3.46 %
Scot Soc logo Scottish Socialist Party 405 1.43 %
Soc Lab logo Socialist Labour Party 326 1.15 %
Nat Law logo Natural Law Party 76 0.27 %
Pro Life Pro Life Alliance 44 0.16 %
Lab logo Labour majority 3,905 13.27 %

1 st May 1997 Westminster Election

Logo Party Candidate Votes %
Labour logo Labour Dr Lewis Moonie 18,730 53.56 %
SNP logo Scottish National Party Stewart Hosie 8,020 22.93 %
Con logo Conservative & Unionist Charlotte Black 4,779 13.66 %
Liberal logo Liberal Democrat John Mainland 3,031 8.67 %
Referendum logo Referendum Victor Baxter 413 1.18 %
Labour hold Labour majority 10,710 30.63 %

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