'Scottish Opinion' Opinion Polls

'This poll is a further straw in the wind. It shows that Labour have a real battle on their hands for next year. We discovered two months ago that Labour were having problems and this shows that apparently the SNP are still ahead of Labour.' Professor John Curtice, 27 th July 2006.

Opinion polls in the run up to the 2007 Holyrood election

Holyrood poll ratings

Date	Poll	SNP	Labour	Lib Dem	Tory	Greens	SSP	Others
Election May 2003	Constituency vote	24 %	35 %	15 %	17 %	0 %	6 %	3 %
	Regional vote	21 %	29 %	16 %	12 %	7 %	7 %	9 %
27 th August 2006	Holyrood Vote	33 %	29 %	19 %	10 %	5 %	2 %
	Scottish poll for the SNP. 1,000 adults canvassed across ? constituencies from ? to ?. 58 % expressed a preference for a political party. Published: 27 th August 2006.
29 th March 2007	Constituency vote	34 %	28 %	11 %	11 %	9 %	-
	Regional vote	32 %	28 %	11 %	10 %	10 %	-
	Projected MSPs	46 (+ 19)	40 (- 10)	17 (+ 0)	12 (- 6)	10 (+ 3)	4 (- 6)
	Scottish Opinion poll for the Daily Mail. 1007 adults interviewed between March 19th and 26th 2007
8 th April 2007	Constituency vote	40 %	28 %	14 %	15 %	3 %
	Regional vote	39 %	28 %	10 %	14 %	4 %	1 %	4 % 1
	Projected MSPs	56 (+ 29)	40 (- 10)	13 (- 4)	17 (- 1)	3 (- 14)
	Scottish Opinion poll for the Mail on Sunday. More than 1000 adults interviewed between ? and?. Published 8 th April 2007. 1 Regional vote: Soldarity 1 %, Others 3 %

Westminster poll ratings

Date	Poll	SNP	Labour	Lib Dem	Tory	Greens	SSP	Others
Election May 2005	Westminster Vote	17.55 %	39.27 %	22.48 %	15.72 %	1.1 %	1.9 %	1.3 %
10 th September 2006	Westminster Vote	28 %	33 %	16 %	14 %	6 %	3 %
	Scottish poll for the Sunday Mail. ? adults canvassed across ? constituencies from ? to ?. Published: 10 th September 2006.

Who would make the best First Minister for Scotland?

Date	Alex Salmond (Scottish National Party)	Jack McConnell (Labour)	Annabelle Goldie (Conservative)	Nicol Stephen (Liberal Democrat)	Tommy Sheridan (Solidarity)
8 th April 2007	23 %	17 %	7 %	5 %	3 %