ICM polls for the Scotsman

Data extracted from the Scotsman ICM polls

Independence Referendum

Date	Yes	No	Don't know
5 th June 1998	52 %	41 %	7 %
1 st July 1998	56 %	35 %	9 %
31 st July 1998	49 %	44 %	7 %
5 th September 1998	51 %	38 %	10 %
25 th September 1998	48 %	37 %	15 %
25 th November 1998	49 %	43 %	8 %
12 th January 1999	49 %	42 %	9 %
4 th February 1999	44 %	47 %	9 %
18 th March 1999	42 %	47 %	11 %
4 th April 1999	47 %	44 %	9 %
1 st November 2006	51 %	39 %	10 %
28 th February 2007	46 %	44 %	10 %

Data in graphical format

Independence?

Scottish parliament elections

Party	Vote	Scottish National Party	Labour	Conservative & Unionist	Liberal Democrat	Green	Scottish Socialist party	Solidarity	Others
Date
1 st May 2003 Election	Constituency	23.77 %	34.89 %	16.53 %	15.13 %	-	6.22 %	-	3.46 %
	Region	20.86 %	29.30 %	15.50 %	11.78 %	6.68 %	6.90 %	-	6.07 %
1 st November 2006	Constituency	32 %	30 %	14 %	15 %	3 %	4 %	1 %	2 %
	Region	28 %	28 %	14 %	17 %	6 %	4 %	1 %	2 %
The poll of 1,002 Scottish adults was conducted by telephone between October 27 and October 30. The margin of error is plus or minus 3.2 percent.
27 th November 2006	Constituency	34 %	29 %	13 %	17 %	2 %	3 %	0 %	2 %
	Region	31 %	26 %	12 %	19 %	6 %	4 %	0 %	2 %
The poll of 1,003 Scottish adults was conducted by telephone between November 22 and November 23. The margin of error is plus or minus ? percent.
31 st January 2007	Constituency	33 %	31 %	13 %	17 %	? %1	3 %	? %1	3 %1
	Region	33 %	27 %	14 %	17 %	5 %	? %2	? %2	4 %2
The poll of ? Scottish adults was conducted by telephone between ? and ?. 1 Greens and Solidarity are included with "Others" in the constituency vote 2 SSP and Solidarity are included with "Others" in the regional vote
28 th February 2007	Constituency	34 %	29 %	16 %	16 %	-	1 %	? %1	3 %1
	Region	32 %	28 %	15 %	17 %	4 %	2 %	? %2	2 %2
The poll of 1,004 Scottish adults was conducted by telephone between 23 and 26 February 2007. 1 Solidarity is included with "Others" in the constituency vote 2 Solidarity is included with "Others" in the regional vote
3 rd April 2007	Constituency	32 %	27 %	13 %	19 %	-	5 %	4 %
	Region	31 %	27 %	12 %	17 %	5 %	5 %	3 %
The poll of ? Scottish adults was conducted by telephone between ? 2007.
2 nd May 2007	Constituency	34 %	32 %	13 %	16 %	-	5 %
	Region	30 %	29 %	13 %	16 %	4 %	3 %	0 %	5 %
The poll of 1,014 Scottish adults was conducted by telephone between 27 th and 30 th April 2007.

Data in graphical format

Constituencies

Regions

Projected Scottish Parliament Seats

Party	Scottish National Party	Labour	Conservative & Unionist	Liberal Democrat	Green	Scottish Socialist party	Solidarity	Others
Date
1 st May 2003 Election	27 (9 + 18)	50 (46 + 4)	18 (3 + 15)	17 (13 + 4)	7 (0 + 7)	6 (0 + 6)	-	4 (2 + 2)
Labour short of overall majority by 15 seats Scottish National Party short of overall majority by 38 seats
1 st November 2006	37 (+ 10)	41 (- 9)	17 (- 1)	25 (+ 8)	5 (- 2)	1 (- 5)	0	3 (- 1)
Labour short of overall majority by 24 seats Scottish National Party short of overall majority by 28 seats
27 th November 2006	43 (+ 16)	38 (- 12)	14 (- 4)	25 (+ 8)	5 (- 2)	1 (- 5)	0	3 (- 1)
Scottish National Party short of overall majority by 22 seats Labour short of overall majority by 27 seats
31 st January 2007	44 (+ 17)	41 (- 9)	17 (- 1)	23 (+ 6)	1 (- 6)	3 (- 7)
Scottish National Party short of overall majority by 21 seats Labour short of overall majority by 24 seats
28 th February 2007	44 (+ 17)	41 (- 9)	17 (- 1)	23 (+ 6)	1 (- 6)	2 (- 4)	0	1 (- 3)
Scottish National Party short of overall majority by 21 seats Labour short of overall majority by 24 seats
3 rd April 2007	44 (+ 17)	39 (- 11)	15 (- 3)	24 (+ 7)	2 (- 5)	5 (- 5)
Scottish National Party short of overall majority by 21 seats Labour short of overall majority by 25 seats
2 nd May 2007	43 (+ 16)	42 (- 8)	17 (- 1)	23 (+ 6)	1 (- 6)	0 (- 6)	1 (+ 1)	2 (- 2)
Scottish National Party short of overall majority by 22 seats Labour short of overall majority by 23 seats

Required for majority: 65.