Independence Polls

saltire shield 'On the tax issue, it's clear that people resent the Scottish government being treated like a Treasury department. SNP policy is for a local income tax to replace council tax, set at three pence in the pound. David Cairns has tried to block the move, declaring it outside the scope of the Scotland Act. Here's the crunch. Whether the Treasury are technically right or not, it's difficult to see how they can oppose the wishes of an elected government.'
Mike Small in the Guardian, 12 th April 2008.		 Lion Rampant

Recent Independence Polls

Q1 The Scottish government should negotiate a settlement with the government of the United Kingdom so that Scotland becomes an independent state

This question is based on the Scottish Governments's favoured referendum question as published in its white paper for a referendum on independence.

Date Approve Disapprove Don't Know
August 2007 35 % 50 % 15 %
TNS System Three Poll Commissioned by the Sunday Herald, Sample , Surveyed December 2007.
December 2007 40 % 44 % 16 %
TNS System Three Poll Commissioned by the Sunday Herald, Sample , Surveyed December 2007.
13 th April 2008 41 % 40 % 19 %
TNS System Three Poll Commissioned by the Sunday Herald, Sample 977, Surveyed 26 th March to 4 th April 2008.

Q2 Would you approve or disapprove of Scotland becoming an independent country?

Date Approve Disapprove Don't Know
12 th January 2007 51 % 36 % 14 %
ICM Poll Commissioned by the Daily Mail, Sample 545, Surveyed 5 th to 7 th January 2007.
10 th August 2007 31 % 49 % 20 %
Scottish Opinion Poll Commissioned by the Daily Mail, Sample , Surveyed August 2007.
10 th April 2008 41 % 43 % 16 %
Scottish Opinion Poll Commissioned by the Daily Mail, Sample , Surveyed April 2008.

Historical Independence Polls

Data extracted from the Scotsman ICM polls

Q3: In a referendum, would you vote for independence for Scotland?

Date Yes No Don't know
5 th June 1998 52 % 41 % 7 %
1 st July 1998 56 % 35 % 9 %
31 st July 1998 49 % 44 % 7 %
5 th September 1998 51 % 38 % 10 %
25 th September 1998 48 % 37 % 15 %
25 th November 1998 49 % 43 % 8 %
12 th January 1999 49 % 42 % 9 %
4 th February 1999 44 % 47 % 9 %
18 th March 1999 42 % 47 % 11 %
4 th April 1999 47 % 44 % 9 %

Data in graphical format

Independence?

Independence

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