Evening News Voter Survey


saltire shield'Labour is heading for heavy defeat at both Holyrood and the City Chambers, according to an Evening News election survey..'
Ian Swanson, Scottish Political Editor in the Evening News, 3 rd April 2007.
Lion Rampant

Evening News Survey

Q1 How likely are you to vote in the forthcoming elections on May 3 rd 2007?

4 th April 2007 Very Likely Quite likely Quite unlikely Very unlikely Unsure
Scottish Parliamentary elections 91.2 % 4.1 % 0.5 % 1.9 % 0.6 %
Local elections 87.7 % 4.9 % 0.6 % 1.8 % 0.7 %

Voting intentions

Q2 How are you most likley to use your constituency vote in the Scottish Parliamentary elections?

Party Scottish National Party Labour Liberal Democrat Conservative Independent Other Unsure
Date SNP logo Labour logo Liberal logo Conservative logo Ind

4 th April 2007 37.3 % 18.3 % 13.9 % 12.1 % 0.8 % 3.9 % 12.8 %

Q3 Which party are you most likely to vote for in the Regional list in the Scottish Parliamentary elections?

Party Scottish National Party Labour Conservative Liberal Democrat Green Party Scottish Socialist Party Independent Solidarity Other Unsure
Date SNP logo Labour logo Conservative logo Liberal logo Green logo SSP logo Ind Solidarity logo

4 th April 2007 29.1 % 14.8 % 12.3 % 11.6 % 10.8 % 5.0 % 2.8 % 1.0 % 1.3 % 10.3 %

Q4 How did you vote in the last Scottish Parliament Election (2003)?

Party Labour Liberal Democrat Scottish National Party Conservative Green Party Scottish Socialist Party Independent Did not vote Was not eligible to vote Unsure
Date Vote Labour logo Liberal logo SNP logo Conservative logo Green logo SSP logo Ind


4 th April 2007 Constituency 31.6 % 20.6 % 18.3 % 13.6 % 0.1 % 2.8 % 1.0 % 4.0 % 5.3 % 2.1 %
Regional list 22.6 % 14.2 % 16.2 % 12.1 % 12.3 % 4.6 % 3.9 % 3.6 % 5.0 % 2.1 %

Q5 Which party are you most likely to vote for in the council elections?

Party Scottish National Party Labour Liberal Democrat Conservative Green Party Scottish Socialist Party Independent Solidarity Other party Unsure
Date SNP logo Labour logo Liberal logo Conservative logo Green logo SSP logo Ind Solidarity logo

4 th April 2007 28.4 % 17.3 % 15.7 % 14.9 % 6.8 % 1.6 % 2.0 % 0.6 % 0.7 % 10.7 %

Q6 How did you vote in the last local elections? (2003)

Party Labour Liberal Democrat Scottish National Party Conservative Green Party Scottish Socialist Party Independent Did not vote Was not eligible to vote Unsure
Date Labour logo Liberal logo SNP logo Conservative logo Green logo SSP logo Ind


4 th April 2007 29.3 % 19.0 % 16.8 % 14.4 % 2.9 % 1.9 % 1.5 % 3.8 % 5.2 % 4.0 %

Q7 To what degree do you feel that your voting intentions may change between now and the elections on May 3rd?

4 th April 2007 Very Likely Quite likely Quite unlikely Very unlikely Unsure
4.2 % 8.2 % 18.2 % 61.8 % 6.3 %

Scottish Parliamentary Elections

Q8 How impressive do you find each of the following leaders?

4 th April 2007 Very impressive Quite impressive Not very impressive Not at all impressive Don't know this leader
Alex Salmond 26.8 % 33.6 % 17.3 % 20.1 % 0.9 %
Jack McConnell 3.8 % 16.8 % 27.9 % 48.3 % 0.9 %
Nicol Stephen 3.2 % 16.3 % 29.9 % 35.1 % 12.9 %
Annabel Goldie 2.7 % 21.0 % 35.0 % 32.3 % 6.6 %

Q9 With regard to the Scottish Parliamentary Elections, can you indicate which of the following issuses is of most importance to you, where 5 is most important and 1 is least important?

4 th April 2007 5
Most important
4 3 2 1
Least important
Health 49.9 % 28.6 % 13.6 % 4.3 % 1.8 %
Crime 36.7 % 27.5 % 16.6 % 7.5 % 5.8 %
Education 34.6 % 29.0 % 18.5 % 7.7 % 5.4 %
The environment 28.5 % 26.2 % 19.8 % 10.6 % 10.1 %
Transport 27.4 % 34.4 % 20.2 % 9.8 % 4.5 %
Past performance of party/leader 17.8 % 16.4 % 21.4 % 11.2 % 23.4 %

Q10 Do you think that the Scottish Parliament has proved effective over the past term?

4 th April 2007 Definetely Not at all To some degree Not sure
15.0 % 26.2 % 54.8 % 2.8 %

Q11 Thinking about the difference that the parliament has made over the past 4 years, to what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

4 th April 2007 Agree strongly Agree slightly Neither Disagree Slightly Disagree strongly
Devolution has been a success 24.7 % 36.7 % 13.9 % 9.5 % 13.8 %
Scotland has become a better place to live and work 18.6 % 32.2 % 25.6 % 10.4 % 10.1 %
The Scottish economy is stronger now than before 12.7 % 27.9 % 32.7 % 13.6 % 11.4 %
We have benefited from having more control over our own affairs 27.0 % 34.7 % 14.3 % 10.8 % 11.7 %
I have little faith in the leadership in the Scottish Parliament 38.4 % 19.4 % 12.9 % 14.0 % 13.9 %
The NHS in Scotland has improved over the past four years 9.0 % 23.5 % 28.4 % 17.4 % 20.4 %
Our schools are performing better since the last elections 7.7 % 19.1 % 37.9 % 18.6 % 15.2 %
Crime & ani-social begaviour are being tackled effectively 4.6 % 15.6 % 20.6 % 23.9 % 34.4 %

Local Elections

Q12 How impressive do you find each of the following leaders?

4 th April 2007 Very impressive Quite impressive Not very impressive Not at all impressive Don't know this leader
Ewan Aitken 5.8 % 17.8 % 19.8 % 18.0 % 36.7 %
Jenny Dawe 2.5 % 6.0 % 16.8 % 11.7 % 60.1 %
Steve Cardownie 1.7 % 8.6 % 19.0 % 24.2 % 43.3 %
Iain Whyte 1.1 % 5.9 % 17.8 % 14.9 % 57.4 %

Q13 With regard to the Scottish Parliamentary Elections, can you indicate which of the following issuses is of most importance to you, where 5 is most important and 1 is least important?

4 th April 2007 5
Most important
4 3 2 1
Least important
Transport 47.2 % 33.0 % 12.8 % 3.7 % 1.4 %
Education 41.6 % 27.4 % 17.4 % 6.6 % 4.6 %
State of the roads 32.0 % 30.0 % 21.2 % 9.2 % 4.9 %
Leisure & Recreation 12.9 % 27.8 % 31.2 % 18.7 % 6.4 %
Past performance of party/leader 13.3 % 13.1 % 20.1 % 13.2 % 36.9 %

Q14 To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements?

4 th April 2007 Agree strongly Agree slightly Neither Disagree Slightly Disagree strongly
We have had strong leadership & direction over the past term 7.9 % 17.6 % 27.8 % 16.8 % 27.3 %
The city has prosperred economically 15.8 % 36.8 % 24.0 % 10.9 % 8.1 %
The city has advanced culturally 12.0 % 34.3 % 29.2 % 12.6 % 8.9 %
The council was right to push ahead with trams 25.9 % 18.7 % 10.8 % 9.5 % 32.7 %
Edinburgh has become a better place to live and work 10.2 % 24.2 % 35.4 % 15.2 % 12.3 %
There has been too little progress in redeveloping the city centre 24.9 % 30.6 % 23.7 % 11.6 % 6.6 %
Edinburgh is falling behind its competitors 21.9 % 27.1 % 24.0 % 14.6 % 9.9 %

Other Issures

Q16 HDid you agree with the war in Iraq?

4 th April 2007 Yes No Unsure
18.5 % 72.0 % 8.4 %

Q17 Are you more or less likely to vote for each of the following parties as a result of the war in Iraq?

4 th April 2007 More likely Less likely No influence Unsure
Labour 4.7 % 53.8 % 35.3 % 2.1 %
Conservative 5.8 % 33.7 % 50.7 % 2.9 %
Liberal Democrat 19.1 % 18.1 % 51.6 % 3.7 %
Green 18.4 % 10.6% 58.6% 4.2 %
Scottish National Party 30.8 % 9.8 % 50.2 % 3.4 %
Other 5.0 % 8.3 % 58.9 % 9.3 %

Q18 Scotland should be an independent country separate from the United Kingdom. To what extent do you agree or disagree with this statement?

4 th April 2007 Strongly agree Slightly agree Neither agree nor disagree Slightly agree Strongly disagree Unsure
30.3 % 13.9 % 6.1 % 8.9 % 37.5 % 2.3 %

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