Latest Opinion Polls

'Labour's ambition of retaining power at Holyrood suffered a severe setback last night after the Scottish National Party took the lead in an opinion poll for the first time since the 2003 elections.' Peter MacMahon in the Scotsman, 1 st July 2006.

Opinion polls published in 2007

Party		Scottish National Party	Labour	Conservative	Liberal Democrat	Scottish Green Party	Scottish Socialist Party	Solidarity	Others
Date	Vote
9 th January 2007	Constituency	33 %	31 %	14 %	14 %	5 %	1 %	1 %	3 %
	Regional	33 %	28 %	15 %	11 %	7 %	1 %	1 %	3 %
	MSPs (SNP analysis)	44 (+ 17)	39 (- 11)	18 (+ 0)	17 (+ 0)	7 (+ 0)	0 (- 6)	4 (+ 0)
	MSPs (John Curtice analysis)	45 (+ 18)	42 (- 8)	18 (+ 0)	14 (- 3)	7 (+ 0)	3 (- 7)
	YouGov Poll for Channel Four. 1061 Scottish adults were surveyed between 4 th and 8 th January 2007.
14 th January 2007	Constituency	33 %	38 %	11 %	14 %	? %
	Regional	30 %	33 %	13 %	16 %	6 %	3 %	? %
	MSPs	?	?	?	?	?	?	?	?
	TNS/System Three Poll for the Sunday Herald. ? Scottish adults were surveyed between ? and ?.
14 th January 2007	Constituency	35 %	29 %	13 %	18 %	6 %
	Regional	32 %	30 %	14 %	14 %	10 %
	MSPs	44 (+ 17)	43 (- 7)	18 (+ 0)	18 (+ 1)	2 (- 5)	4 (- 6)
	YouGov Poll for the Sunday Times. 1,005 Scottish adults were surveyed between ? and ?.
31 st January 2007	Constituency	33 %	31 %	13 %	17 %	-	3 %	3 %
	Region	33 %	27 %	14 %	17 %	5 %	4 %
	MSPs	44 (+ 17)	41 (- 9)	17 (- 1)	23 (+ 6)	1 (- 6)	3 (- 7)
	ICM poll for the Scotsman. The poll of ? Scottish adults was conducted by telephone between ? and ?.
28 th February 2007	Constituency	34 %	29 %	16 %	16 %	-	1 %	3 %
	Region	32 %	28 %	15 %	17 %	4 %	2 %	2 %
	MSPs	44 (+ 17)	41 (- 9)	17 (- 1)	23 (+ 6)	1 (- 6)	2 (- 4)	0 (+ 0)	1 (- 3)
	ICM poll for the Scotsman. The poll of 1,004 Scottish adults was conducted by telephone between 23 and 26 February 2007.
28 th March 2007	Constituency	38 %	28 %	14 %	15 %	6 %
	Regional	35 %	30 %	14 %	14 %	4 %	1 %	0 %	2 %
	MSPs	50 (+ 23)	43 (- 7)	18 (+ 1)	17 (- 1)	1 (- 6)	0 (- 6)	0 (+ 0)	0 (- 4)
	Populus poll for the Times. 1,000 Scottish adults were surveyed between 21 st and 25 th March 2007.
29 th March 2007	Constituency	34 %	28 %	11 %	11 %	9 %	-
	Region	32 %	28 %	10 %	11 %	10 %	-
	MSPs	46 (+ 19)	40 (- 10)	12 (- 6)	17 (+ 0)	10 (+ 3)	4 (- 6)
	Scottish Opinion Poll for the Daily Mail. 1,007 Scottish adults were surveyed between 19 th and 26 th March 2007. Published 29 th March 2007.
30 th March 2007	Constituency	35 %	29 %	14 %	13 %	9 %
	Regional	33 %	27 %	12 %	15 %	14 %
	MSPs	46 (+ 19)	39 (- 11)	18 (+ 0)	18 (+ 1)	5 (- 2)	3 (- 7)
	YouGov Poll for the Daily Telegraph. 1,085 Scottish adults were surveyed between 23 rd and 28 th March 2007. Published 30 th March 2007.
1 st April 2007	Constituency	39 %	34 %	13 %	11 %	3 %
	Regional	36 %	25 %	11 %	13 %	6 %	3 %	6 %
	MSPs	51 (+ 24)	44 (- 6)	13 (- 5)	16 (- 1)	4 (- 3)	1 (- 5)	0	0 (- 4)
	TNS/System Three Poll for STV. Around 1,000 Scottish adults were surveyed in late March 2007.
2 nd April 2007	Constituency	36 %	27 %	13 %	16 %	8 %
	Regional	33 %	26 %	14 %	14 %	7 %	3 %	1 %	3 %
	MSPs	?	?	?	?	?	?	?	?
	YouGov Poll for the SNP. 1,064 Scottish adults were surveyed between 27 th and 30 th March 2007.
3 rd April 2007	Constituency	32 %	27 %	13 %	19 %	-	5 %	4 %
	Region	31 %	27 %	12 %	17 %	5 %	5 %	3 %
	MSPs	44 (+ 17)	39 (- 11)	15 (- 3)	24 (+ 7)	2 (- 5)	5 (- 5)
	ICM poll for the Scotsman. The poll of ? Scottish adults was conducted by telephone between ? and ?.
6 th April 2007	Constituency	34 %	38 %	10 %	15 %	3 %
	Region	35 %	37 %	10 %	14 %	3 %	1 %
	MSPs	45 (+ 18)	55 (+ 5)	10 (- 8)	18 (+ 1)	1 (- 6)	0 (- 10)
	mruk research poll for the Herald. The poll of 1,000 Scottish adults was conducted by telephone between March 22 nd and March 27 th 2007.
8 th April 2007	Constituency	40 %	28 %	15 %	14 %	3 %
	Region	39 %	28 %	14 %	10 %	4 %	1 %	1 %	4 %
	MSPs	56 (+ 29)	40 (- 10)	17 (- 1)	13 (- 4)	3 (- 14)
	Scottish Opinion poll for the Mail on Sunday. More than 1000 adults interviewed between ? and?.
20 th April 2007	Constituency	34 %	30 %	13 %	18 %	6 %
	Regional	34 %	27 %	14 %	18 %	3 %	7 %
	MSPs	46 (+ 19)	42 (- 8)	17 (+ 0)	23 (+ 6)	1 (- 6)	0 (- 6)	0 (+ 0)	0 (- 4)
	Populus poll for the Times. 1,000 Scottish adults were surveyed between ? and ? April 2007.
22 nd April 2007	Constituency	37 %	30 %	14 %	15 %	4 %
	Regional	35 %	28 %	13 %	13 %	11 %
	MSPs	50 (+ 23)	42 (- 8)	16 (- 2)	18 (+ 1)	2 (- 5)	0 (- 6)	0	1 (- 3)
	YouGov Poll for the Sunday Times 1,027 Scottish adults were surveyed between 18 th and 20 th April 2007.
26 th April 2007	Constituency	38 %	34 %	11 %	13 %	4 %
	Region	37 %	36 %	11 %	11 %	4 %	2 %
	MSPs	49 (+ 22)	45 (- 5)	14 (- 4)	19 (+ 2)	2 (- 5)	0 (- 10)
	mruk research poll for the Herald. The poll of 1,000 Scottish adults was conducted by telephone between April 13 th and April 19 th 2007.
26 th April 2007	Constituency	39 %	30 %	13 %	15 %	4 %
	Regional	31 %	27 %	13 %	11 %	9 %	9 %
	MSPs	44 (+ 17)	39 (- 11)	17 (- 1)	17 (+ 0)	9 (+ 2)	3 (- 7)
	YouGov Poll for the Daily Telegraph. ? Scottish adults were surveyed between ? and ?April 2007. Published 26 th April 2007.
29 th April 2007	Constituency	38 %	30 %	12 %	15 %	4 %
	Regional	32 %	27 %	12 %	14 %	6 %	2 %	3 %	4 %
	MSPs	46 (+ 19)	40 (- 10)	18 (+ 0)	18 (+ 0)	5 (- 2)	2 (- 8)
	YouGov Poll for the Economic and Social Research Council. 1,800 Scottish adults were surveyed between and 2007. Published 29 th April 2007.
2 nd May 2007	Constituency	34 %	32 %	13 %	16 %	-	5 %
	Region	30 %	29 %	13 %	16 %	4 %	3 %	0 %	5 %
	MSPs	43 (+ 16)	42 (- 8)	17 (- 1)	23 (+ 6)	1 (- 6)	0 (- 6)	1 (+ 1)	2 (- 2)
	ICM poll for the Scotsman. The poll of 1,014 Scottish adults was conducted by telephone between 27 th and 30 th April 2007.
2 nd May 2007	Constituency	33 %	29 %	13 %	15 %	10 %
	Regional	31 %	28 %	14 %	15 %	4 %	11 %
	MSPs	45 (+ 18)	43 (- 7)	17 (- 1)	23 (+ 6)	1 (- 6)	0 (- 6)	0 (+ 0)	0 (- 4)
	Populus poll for the Times. 1,000 Scottish adults were surveyed between 25 th and 30 th April 2007.
3 rd May 2007	Constituency	37 %	31 %	13 %	14 %	5 %
	Regional	32 %	27 %	13 %	10 %	9 %	9 %
	MSPs	45 (+ 18)	39 (- 11)	17 (- 1)	16 (- 1)	9 (+ 2)	3 (- 7)
	YouGov Poll for the Daily Telegraph. 1,137 Scottish adults were surveyed between 1 st and 2 nd May 2007. Published 3 rd May 2007.
Range	MSPs	44 - 56	39 - 55	10 - 18	13 - 24	1 - 10	0 - 2	0	0 - 4

Polls of Polls

Party		Scottish National Party	Labour	Conservative	Liberal Democrat	Scottish Green Party	Scottish Socialist Party	Solidarity	Others
Date	Vote
6 th April 2007	Constituency	35 %	29 %	13 %	15 %	7 %
	Region	33 %	27 %	13 %	14 %	4 %	2 %	7 %
	Poll of poll of eight Scottish opinion polls in the last two months, carried out by YouGov (2), ICM (3), Populous (1), Scottish Opinion (1) and System 3 (1).
23 rd April 2007	Constituency	36 %	30 %	12 %	16 %	5 %
	Region	34 %	28 %	13 %	15 %	6 %	5 %
	MSPs	46	40	16	19	4	3
	Based on 3 polls conducted by Populus, Scottish Opinion and YouGov between 12 and 20 April.

Full details of opinion polls in the run up to the 2007 Holyrood election

• ICM Holyrood Polls for the Scotsman
  Monthly ICM polls will be published in the run up to the 2007 Holyrood election
  
  
• Ipsos MORI Holyrood Polls
  
  
• 'Scottish Opinion' Polls
  
  
• System Three Holyrood Polls
  Three new System three monthly polls were published in September 2006
  
  
• YouGov Polls
  
  
• Populus Polls
  
  
• Progressive Partnership Polls
  
  
• mruk Research polls
  
  
• ICM poll on the Union
  An ICM poll on independence was comissioned by the Daily Mail for the 300 th Anniversary of the Union
  
  
• Opinion Research poll on the Union
  An Opinion research poll on the Unions was by the BBC for the 300 th Anniversary of the Union
  
  
• Evening News election survey
  2,000 people were surveyed by the Edinburgh Evening News