The Next Westminster Election

'A senior Labour MSP said: 'People are now talking about Wendy resigning. It's a question they are asking. Everyone is demoralised.' Another Labour MSP said: 'Enough is enough. She has to go.' However, another friend of the embattled leader said of Brown: 'A lot of people at Holyrood and at Westminster are not happy with him.' A second said: 'The problem is Gordon's a ditherer.' A third source who is close to Alexander said of Brown's aides: 'They just don't give a f*** about Scotland. All they care about is the next general election'.' James Cusick and Paul Hutcheon in the Sunday Herald, 11 th May 2008.

Candidates and Constituency Assessments

'The Parliamentary Union of England and Scotland 1707' by Walter Thomas Monnington (1902-1976)

This section will be updated for the next Westminster election which is expected to be held in May or June of 2009. However, it is not impossible that new Prime Minister Gordon Brown will hold a snap election if Labour's fortunes revive.

The constituency profiles will contain:

• A list of candidates with short biographies and photographs where possible
  
• A comparison of the new Westminster constituencies which were introduced in 2005 with the current Scottish parliamentray constituencies
  
• The ranking on each party's target list and the swing required for each party to win the seat
  
• Previous constituency and list results from the 2005 Westminster election and notional results from 2001
  
• Links to any relevant websites

Scottish Constituencies

Notional 2001 election results for the new Scottish Westminster constituencies were calculated by Martin Baxter http://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/ and I am indebted to him for allowing me to reproduce his figures on this site. The notional results have also been calculated by Professor David Denver of Lancaster University for the BBC, ITN, PA News and Sky News. These figure are also reproduced here for comparison. Please note that these calculations are copyright and may not be reproduced without the permission of the authors.

1. Aberdeen North
   Labour majority of 6,795 over Liberal Democrat
   
   
2. Aberdeen South
   Labour majority of 1,348 over Liberal Democrat
   
   
3. Airdrie & Shotts
   Labour majority of 14,084 over Scottish National Party
   
   
4. Angus
   Scottish National Party majority of 1,601 over Conservative & Unionist
   
   
5. Argyll & Bute
   Liberal Democrat majority of 5,636 over Conservative & Unionist
   
   
6. Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock
   Labour majority of 9,997 over Conservative & Unionist
   
   
7. Banff & Buchan
   Scottish National Party majority of 11,837 over Conservative & Unionist
   
   
8. Berwickshire, Roxburgh & Selkirk
   Liberal Democrat majority of 5,901 over Conservative & Unionist
   
   
9. Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross
   Liberal Democrat majority of 8,168 over Labour
   
   
10. Central Ayrshire
    Labour majority of 10,423 over Conservative & Unionist
    
    
11. Coatbridge, Chryston & Bellshill
    Labour majority of 19,519 over Scottish National Party
    
    
12. Cumbernauld, Kilsyth & Kirkintilloch East
    Labour majority of 11,562 over Scottish National Party
    
    
13. Dumfries & Galloway
    Labour majority of 2,922 over Conservative & Unionist
    
    
14. Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale & Tweeddale
    Notional Conservative & Unionist gain from Labour
    Conservative & Unionist majority of 1,738 over Labour
    
    
15. Dundee East
    Notional Scottish National Party gain from Labour
    Scottish National Party majority of 383 over Labour
    
    
16. Dundee West
    Labour majority of 5,379 over Scottish National Party
    
    
17. Dunfermline & West Fife
    Labour majority of 11,562 over Liberal Democrat
    
    
18. East Dunbartonshire
    Notional Liberal Democrat gain from Labour
    Liberal Democrat majority of 4,061 over Labour
    
    
19. East Kilbride, Strathaven & Lesmahagow
    Labour majority of 14,723 over Scottish National Party
    
    
20. East Lothian
    Labour majority of 7,620 over Liberal Democrat
    
    
21. East Renfrewshire
    Labour majority of 6,657 over Conservative & Unionist
    
    
22. Edinburgh East
    Labour majority of 6,202 over Liberal Democrat
    
    
23. Edinburgh North & Leith
    Labour Co-op majority of 2,153 over Liberal Democrat
    
    
24. Edinburgh South
    Labour majority of 405 over Liberal Democrat
    
    
25. Edinburgh South West
    Labour majority of 7,242 over Conservative & Unionist
    
    
26. Edinburgh West
    Liberal Democrat majority of 13,600 over Conservative & Unionist
    
    
27. Falkirk
    Labour majority of 13,475 over Scottish National Party
    
    
28. Glasgow Central
    Labour majority of 8,531 over Liberal Democrat
    
    
29. Glasgow East
    Labour majority of 13,507 over Scottish National Party
    
    
30. Glasgow North
    Labour majority of 3,338 over Liberal Democrat
    
    
31. Glasgow North East
    Speaker majority of 10,134 over Scottish National Party
    
    
32. Glasgow North West
    Labour majority of 10,093 over Liberal Democrat
    
    
33. Glasgow South
    Labour majority of 10,832 over Liberal Democrat
    
    
34. Glasgow South West
    Labour Co-op majority of 13,896 over Scottish National Party
    
    
35. Glenrothes
    Labour majority of 10,664 over Scottish National Party
    
    
36. Gordon
    Liberal Democrat majority of 11,026 over Labour
    
    
37. Inverclyde
    Labour majority of 11,259 over Scottish National Party
    
    
38. Inverness, Nairn, Badenoch & Strathspey
    Notional Liberal Democrat gain from Labour
    Liberal Democrat majority of 4,148 over Labour
    
    
39. Kilmarnock & Loudoun
    Labour majority of 8,703 over Scottish National Party
    
    
40. Kirkcaldy & Cowdenbeath
    Labour majority of 18,216 over Scottish National Party
    
    
41. Lanark & Hamilton East
    Labour majority of 11,947over Scottish National Party
    
    
42. Linlithgow & East Falkirk
    Labour majority of 11,202 over Scottish National Party
    
    
43. Livingston
    Labour majority of 13,097 over Scottish National Party
    
    
44. Midlothian
    Labour majority of 7,265 over Liberal Democrat
    
    
45. Moray
    Scottish National Party majority of 5,676 over Conservative & Unionist
    
    
46. Motherwell & Wishaw
    Labour majority of 15,222 over Scottish National Party
    
    
47. Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)
    Scottish National Party gain from Labour
    Scottish National Party majority of 1,441 over Labour
    
    
48. North Ayrshire & Arran
    Labour majority of 11.296 over Conservative & Unionist
    
    
49. North East Fife
    Liberal Democrat majority of 12,571 over Conservative & Unionist
    
    
50. Ochil & South Perthshire
    Labour majority of 688 over Scottish National Party
    
    
51. Orkney & Shetland
    Liberal Democrat majority of 6,627 over Labour
    
    
52. Paisley & Renfrewshire North
    Labour majority of 11,001 over Scottish National Party
    
    
53. Paisley & Renfrewshire South
    Labour majority of 13,232 over Liberal Democrat
    
    
54. Perth & North Perthshire
    Scottish National Party majority of 1,521 over Conservative & Unionist
    
    
55. Ross, Skye & Lochaber
    Liberal Democrat majority of 14.249 over Labour
    
    
56. Rutherglen & Hamilton West
    Labour Co-op majority of 16,112 over Liberal Democrat
    
    
57. Stirling
    Labour majority of 4,767 over Conservative & Unionist
    
    
58. West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine
    Liberal Democrat majority of 7,471 over Conservative & Unionist
    
    
59. West Dunbartonshire
    Labour Co-op majority of 12,553 over Scottish National Party