Marginal Seats

'The electorate, British and Scottish, will eventually tire of Tony and New Labour. ...But there is absolutely no guarantee that they will come back to the Conservatives. The Liberal Party believed its turn to be the Government of the UK would inevitably return; it never has.' Brian Meek, in the Herald, 16 th September 1997.

Most Marginal Seats

Key

Labour	Scottish National Party	Conservative	Liberal Democrat	Scottish Socialist Alliance

Most Marginal Seats

Rank	Name	Majority	% Majority	1st	%	2nd	%	3rd	%	4th	%
a	Hamilton South 1999 by-election	556	2.86		36.87		34.01		9.49		7.23
b	Falkirk West 2000 by-election	705	3.61		43.54		39.93		8.31		5.07
1	Tweedale, Ettrick & Lauderdale	1,489	3.81		31.22		27.41		22.11		17.10
2	Inverness East, Nairn & Lochaber	2,339	4.90		33.89		28.99		17.51		17.49
3	Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine	2,662	6.16		41.08		34.92		13.06		9.08
4	Eastwood	3,236	6.19		39.75		33.56		13.07		11.70
5	Perth	3,140	7.05		36.38		29.33		24.77		8.04
6	Aberdeen South	3,365	7.64		35.27		27.63		26.37		9.76
7	Caithness, Sutherland & Easter Ross	2,259	7.75		35.59		27.84		23.00		10.79
8	Glasgow Govan	2,914	9.04		44.09		35.05		8.81		5.94
9	Tayside North	4,160	9.13		44.85		35.72		11.28		8.15
10	Ross, Skye & Inverness West	4,019	10.06		38.72		28.66		19.57		10.93
11	Ochil	4,652	10.63		45.01		34.38		14.58		5.17
12	Edinburgh Pentlands	4,862	10,63		43.01		32.38		13.01		10.00
c	Paisley South 1997 by-election	2,731	11.65		44.15		32.49		11.02		7.01
13	Galloway & Upper Nithsdale	5,624	13.39		43.91		30.52		16.33		6.43
14	Moray	5,566	14.00		41.57		27.57		19.83		8.92
15	Ayr	6,543	14.62		48.40		33.80		12.60		4.70
16	Stirling	6,411	14.93		47.45		32.52		13.39		6.23
17	Edinburgh West	4,291	15.22		43.20		27.98		18.79		8.84
18	Kilmarnock & Loudoun	7,256	15.30		49.82		34.52		10.81		3.99
19	Gordon	6,997	16.57		42.61		26.04		19.97		10.30
20	Argyll & Bute	6,081	17.03		40.20		23.17		18.96		15.67
21	Dumfries	9,643	19.47		47.51		28.04		12.07		11.08
22	Renfrewshire West	7,979	20.05		46.56		26.51		18.57		7.65
23	Western Isles	3,576	22.20		55.60		33.40		6.65		3.07
24	Roxburgh & Berwickshire	7,906	22.63		46.50		23.87		14.96		11.33
25	Angus	10,189	23,66		48.27		24.61		15.63		9.44
26	Dundee East	9,961	24.58		51.12		26.54		15.78		4.14
27	Fife North East	10,356	24.75		51.22		26.47		10.86		10.28
28	Edinburgh South	11,452	25.54		46.82		21.28		17.64		12.92
29	Edinburgh Central	11,070	25.90		47.09		21.19		15.80		13.12
30	Aberdeen North	10,010	26.06		47.87		21.81		15.00		14.11
31	Dumbarton	10,883	26.38		49.61		23.23		17.65		7.62
32	Edinburgh North & Leith	10,978	26.81		46.91		20.10		17.86		13.03
33	Cunninghame North	11,039	26.84		50.30		23.46		18.44		5.52
34	Linlithgow	10,838	27.33		54.14		26.81		12.52		5.88
35	Livingston	11,747	27.43		54.89		27.46		9.40		6.71
36	Midlothian	9,870	28.00		53.51		25.51		10.90		9.18
37	Glasgow Kelvin	9,665	29.60		50.97		21.37		14.18		10.84
38	Aberdeen Central	10,801	30.32		49.82		19.50		16.19		13.24
39	Clydesdale	13,807	30.41		52.54		22.13		16.29		8.36
40	Dundee West	11,859	30.56		53.79		23.23		13.15		7.66
41	Kirkcaldy	10,710	30.63		53.56		22.93		13.66		8.67
42	Cumbernauld & Kilsyth	11,128	30.89		58.69		27.80		6.78		3.80
d	Glasgow Anniesland 2000 by-election	6,337	31.35		52.14		20.79		10.83		8.06
43	Banff & Buchan	12,845	31.97		55.77		23.80		11.81		5.97
44	Falkirk East	13,385	32.18		56.12		23.98		13.98		5.18
45	East Lothian	14,221	32.74		52.68		19.94		15.71		10.53
46	Strathkelvin & Bearsden	16,292	32.77		52.86		20.09		16.32		9.74
47	Fife Central	13,713	33.64		58.66		25.02		9.00		6.40
48	Orkney & Shetland	6,968	33.72		51.99		18.27		12.70		12.23
49	Dunfermline West	12,354	33.91		53.08		19.17		13.62		12.64
50	Clydebank & Milngavie	13,320	34.08		50.25		21.10		12.50		10.50
51	Paisley South	12,750	34.13		57.51		23.38		9.37		8.67
52	Edinburgh East & Musselburgh	14,530	34.50		53.57		19.07		15.39		10.71
53	Motherwell & Wishaw	12,791	34.93		57.40		22.47		10.99		6.37
54	East Kilbride	17,384	35.63		56.53		20.90		12.02		7.23
55	Glasgow Cathcart	12,245	35.90		56.17		20.27		12.45		6.75
56	Falkirk West	13,783	35.92		59.35		23.43		12.09		3.80
57	Airdrie & Shotts	15,412	37.42		61.82		24.40		8.89		4.17
58	Paisley North	12,814	37.54		59.46		21.92		9.57		6.93
59	Greenock & Inverclyde	13,040	37.59		56.16		18.57		13.81		11.46
60	Cunninghame South	14,869	41.95		62.73		20.78		10.08		4.53
61	Glasgow Pollok	13,791	42.04		59.91		17.87		11.09		6.03
62	Glasgow Rutherglen	15,007	42.25		57.52		15.27		14.55		9.26
63	Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley	21,062	42.84		59.79		16.95		16.66		5.31
64	Glasgow Anniesland	15,154	44.73		61.84		17.11		11.46		7.24
65	Hamilton North & Bellshill	17,067	44.92		64.01		19.09		10.38		5.06
66	Glasgow Baillieston	14,840	46.59		65.69		19.10		7.75		3.82
67	Glasgow Maryhill	14,264	47.99		64.94		16.95		7.13		5.88
68	Hamilton South	15,878	47.98		65.60		17.62		8.64		5.12
69	Dunfermline East	18,741	51.26		66.81		15.55		9.99		5.92
70	Coatbridge & Chryston	19,295	51.30		68.32		17.02		8.55		5.45
71	Glasgow Springburn	17,326	54.87		71.36		16.49		5.99		4.27
72	Glasgow Shettleston	15,868	59.18		73.16		13.98		5.53		3.96