Marginal Seats

'Scotland is the twenty-first richest country in the world, and is well able to stand on her own two feet. It is insulting nonsense for anyone to pretend that Scots are incapable of sustaining the perfectly normal status of Independence in Europe - and thriving.'
SNP's Economic Secretary & Exports Spokesperson Mr David McCarthy.

Most Marginal Seats

The following tables indicate the most marginal seats for each party. The notional result for the 1992 general election has been calculated had it been fought on the new boundaries.

Key

Labour	Scottish National Party	Conservative & Unionist	Liberal Democrat

Most Marginal Conservative Seats

Rank	Name	Notional majority	% Majority	%	%	%	%
1	Stirling	236	0.56	39.17	38.62	14.49	6.73
2	Galloway & Upper Nithsdale	2,400	5.55	41.99	36.44	12.96	8.59
3	Perth	2,726	6.07	40.46	34.38	13.19	11.95
4	Tayside North	3,439	7.58	46.36	38.78	7.88	6.95
5	Edinburgh West	4,291	8.32	38.20	29.89	17.36	12.54
6	Edinburgh Pentlands	4,148	9.03	40.19	31.17	15.67	12.68
7	Aberdeenshire West & Kincardine	4,437	10.48	45.14	34.67	12.46	6.81
8	Aberdeen South	4,725	10.71	37.36	26.65	23.89	12.09
9	Dumfries	6,766	13.50	43.09	29.59	14.78	11.68
10	Gordon	8,486	20.77	47.95	27.19	18.58	6.26
11	Eastwood	11,838	22.49	46.62	24.13	16.43	12.51

Most Marginal Liberal Democrat Seats

Rank	Name	Notional majority	% Majority	%	%	%	%
1	Inverness East, Nairn & Lochaber	736	1.60	26.69	25.09	23.48	23.17
2	Tweedale, Ettrick & Lauderdale	1,735	4.36	35.04	30.68	17.16	16.41
3	Argyll & Bute	2,622	7.19	34.91	27.72	23.81	13.55
4	Fife North East	3,303	7.89	46.40	38.51	8.59	5.58
5	Roxburgh & Berwickshire	4,453	12.31	46.46	34.15	10.62	8.75
6	Ross, Skye & Inverness West	6,505	16.82	38.67	21.85	18.86	18.81
7	Caithness & Sutherland	6,759	22.83	44.41	21.58	18.37	15.63
8	Orkney & Shetland	5,033	24.40	46.42	22.02	19.84	11.15

Most Marginal SNP Seats

Rank	Name	Notional majority	% Majority	%	%	%	%
1	Angus	437	1.07	39.16	38.08	12.94	8.79
2	Moray	2,927	7.08	44.61	37.53	11.88	5.96
3	Banff & Buchan	6,568	16.11	50.83	34.72	8.58	5.85

Most Marginal Labour Seats

Rank	Name	Notional majority	% Majority	%	%	3rd	%	%
1	Ayr	1,895	4.18	42.63	38.44		11.16	7.46
2	Cunninghame North	2,939	6.86	40.97	34.11		18.22	6.68
3	Edinburgh Central	3,757	9.18	38.53	29.35		15.22	14.83
4	Edinburgh South	4,156	9.37	41.52	32.15		13.19	12.88
5	Edinburgh North & Leith	4,334	10.07	34.91	24.83		20.33	11.71
6	Western Isles	1,703	10.62	47.81	37.18		8.49	3.44
7	Aberdeen North	4,237	11.27	35.09	23.41		22.46	18.62
8	Dundee East	5,517	12.26	44.34	32.08		18.43	4.30
9	Strathkelvin & Bearsden	6,948	13.54	46.09	32.55		12.89	8.26
10	Dumbarton	6,129	13.89	43.63	29.74		18.41	7.76
11	Kilmarnock & Loudoun	6,979	14.07	44.77	30.70		19.02	5.48
12	Aberdeen Central	5,397	14.29	43.08	28.79		19.74	10.55
13	Renfrewshire West	6,046	15.09	42.86	27.77		20.61	8.42
14	East Lothian	7,099	15.28	45.46	30.18		13.28	11.07
15	Glasgow Govan	5,609	15.41	43.04	27.63		19.68	5.58
16	Falkirk East	5,517	15.78	44.15	28.37		20.19	7.27
17	Ochil	7,350	17.00	43.06	26.06		23.97	6.90
18	Dunfermline West	7,184	18.49	41.52	23.03		19.82	15.61
19	Linlithgow	7,797	19.05	49.19	30.14		13.71	6.94
20	Livingston	8,448	19.90	45.84	25.94		18.11	9.08
21	Edinburgh East & Musselburgh	9,101	20.68	44.69	24.01		17.93	11.53
22	Clydesdale	10,187	21.21	44.59	23.38		23.07	8.23
23	Dundee West	9,464	23.11	47.66	24.55		18.84	7.49
24	Kirkcaldy	8,865	23.32	45.83	22.51		21.99	9.65
25	East Kilbride	11,940	23.77	47.36	23.59		18.64	10.39
26	Glasgow Pollok	9,453	24.87	49.85	24.97	Mil Lab	12.65	8.17
27	Midlothian	8,864	24.94	48.16	23.22		17.55	9.99
28	Cumbernauld & Kilsyth	9,215	25.O7	54.01	28.94		11.27	5.76
29	Fife Central	10,991	25.78	50.71	24.94		17.44	6.88
30	Paisley South	10,414	26.24	50.80	24.56		15.36	8.89
31	Greenock & Inverclyde	10,238	26.70	47.77	21.07		17.26	13.88
32	Glasgow Kelvin	9,989	27.58	46.86	19.27		18.90	13.15
33	Falkirk West	11,430	27.92	51.45	23.53		18.85	6.16
34	Glasgow Cathcart	10,552	27.82	49.34	21.52		19.09	7.20
35	Paisley North	10,414	28.37	51.86	23.50		15.68	7.70
36	Carrick, Cumnock & Doon Valley	14,686	28.40	54.05	25.65		15.08	5.20
37	Cunninghame South	10,680	28.72	52.93	24.21		16.32	6.18
38	Clydebank & Milngavie	11,420	28.81	50.25	21.45		18.46	9.53
39	Glasgow Rutherglen	13,299	34.22	53.37	19.15		15.57	11.65
40	Motherwell & Wishaw	14,090	35.11	56.53	21.43		15.60	6.06
41	Glasgow Anniesland	13,589	36.06	53.07	17.01		15.64	13.70
42	Hamilton South	12,742	36.62	56.95	20.33		16.08	6.63
43	Hamilton North & Bellshill	15,490	38.55	58.28	19.73		15.21	6.75
44	Glasgow Baillieston	14,165	40.65	63.21	22.56		9.89	4.31
45	Glasgow Maryhill	14,512	43.81	62.60	19.42		9.64	6.65
46	Airdrie & Shotts	19,655	44.38	62.49	18.11		14.87	4.50
47	Coatbridge & Chryston	18,100	45.01	61.77	16.76		15.51	5.93
48	Glasgow Springburn	16,197	45.04	64.91	19.88		10.86	4.33
49	Dunfermline East	17,755	46.57	62.86	16.29		14.73	6.10
50	Glasgow Shettleston	15,644	49.34	65.50	16.15		12.22	6.11

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